DODGE CITY, KS - MAY 24: A tornado is seen South of Dodge City, Kansas moving North on May 24, 2016 in Dodge City, Kansas. About 30 tornadoes were reported on Tuesday in five different states from Michigan to Texas. Damage to homes and property was also reported in Ford County, Kansas. (Photo by Brian Davidson/Getty Images)

Despite the tornadoes that occurred on February 24, including the first deadly tornadoes of the year, the United States is running behind schedule in the tornado numbers department this year. Will the quiet trend we have seen thus far continue as we head into April, and May?

The country just went through a major pattern change, with a more persistent parade of storms digging into the Southwest before strengthening over the central United States. Meanwhile, a strong blocking pattern in the western Atlantic (-NAO) is allowing the parade of storm systems to drop cold fronts deep into the South. This limits the flow of warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico into the country… and limits the violent storm formation that spawns tornadoes.

While the pattern over the western half of the country could be conducive to a more active tornado regime, the blocking pattern over the Atlantic and eastern U.S. is keeping the overall instability low across the U.S. by shutting down the transport of warm, moist Gulf of Mexico air into the U.S. This will probably help limit tornado production over at least the next 1-2 weeks.

Rich Fields is a veteran radio broadcaster who is best known for having been the Announcer on the Price is Right. He is also an Emmy Award winning Meteorologist .