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circa 1925: Tourists crowd the Lafayette Street Bridge in Tampa, Florida at the height of the tourist season.

As we exhale with the news that Tampa will be spared with Hurricane Dorian, ABC Action News meteorologist Denis Phillips had a sobering statement tonight during his live web chat. We’re due. Actually we’re way overdue. He quoted a study about the probability of a hurricane in the Tampa area. According to that research, we have a 1 in 28 chance of getting hit each year. Do know the year Tampa Bay last got hit with a major hurricane?

1928! Yes. It’s been almost 100 years. So by that study’s math, we should have 3 or 4 major hurricanes by now. The hurricane that year made landfall in Tarpon Springs and had sustained winds of 140MPH. There were many fatalities, mostly from drownings and live wires. The storm brought a 10 to 12 foot surge. They say on Wikipedia that homes in the Hyde Park area of Tampa saw water come up halfway on the first story. There were small waves in the streets of Ybor, according to this piece below from the National Weather Service in Tampa.

So we get it. We’re overdue. Is there anything that can be done to keep the odds in our favor? Fortunately we have someone on the case.

Hey it's Geno. Thanks for reading. Got something to add to this story? Connect with me on Facebook, Instagram or Twitter.